Peyton Manning is bummed out by the current Indianapolis Colts situation.
With coaches being fired left and right, a new general manager, the Colts most likely drafting his replacement (Andrew Luck) and a $28 million dollar bonus deadline looming, Peyton must be irked at the franchise that he revived in the late 90s and made into a juggernaut for the last 13 seasons (not including 2011) for subtlety dismissing him as of late.
Peyton must be secretly fuming if he thinks he can still play…or that’s what Vince McMahon would want you to think---if he was running the NFL of course.
I think their conversation would go a little like this…
Vince McMahon: Look Peyton, your team is back-stabbing you—you need to play this slighted angle up ALOT more.
Peyton: But I’ve been a Colt my entire life. I love them so much that I even pretended to be positive while Curtis Painter was bouncing passes for eight games!
Vince: Yeah—but you want to play still, right?
Peyton: Of course. I love the game, but I’m not sure about this neck thing. What do you have in mind?
Vince: Well, the Super Bowl is coming up, and I arranged it to be the Giants vs. Patriots.
Peyton: Wait, did you say arrange?
Vince: Focus Peyton! It’s your brother’s team vs. your most hated rival!
Peyton: So?
Vince: Haven’t you ever heard of high stakes? Like the loser gets their head shaved? Or the loser has to retire? You should re-invent your image with putting stakes on this game?
Peyton: Go on…
Vince: I’ll make arrangements for a press conference next Monday. You will announce that your retirement will hinge on the outcome of this game. If the Giants win—you come back because you can’t bear the fact that your brother would have more Super Bowl rings than you. You will then turn heel and play for a Colts rival, like the Dolphins or the Jets, so you can smoke them twice a year for the next few years. However, if the Patriots win--you retire. This way your most hated team will have the chance of ending your career.
Peyton: But I’m leaning on coming back!
Vince: (laughing) Did you see Super Bowl XLII? Don’t worry, I already arranged for the Giants to win in “miracle” fashion again.
Peyton: But what about my neck?
Vince: I’m the head of the WWE!
Peyton: (confused) and….?
Vince: I meant steroids.
END SCENE
Thursday, January 26, 2012
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Week 17 Notes...
THE CLUTCH:
QB RECORDS VS. SPREAD (actual records in parenthesis)
Elite QBs: 58-49 (76-31)
Very Good QBs: 32-47 (41-38)
Average QBs: 54-42 (47-45)
Unknown QBs: 39-41 (32-48)
Bad QBs: 20-17 (20-17)
Backups: 53-60 (39-75)
Down 41-38 with 2:39 remaining, Matt Flynn, starting in place of a resting Aaron Rodgers, drove the Packers 80 yards, capped by a 4 yard touchdown pass to Jermichael Finley. Flynn threw for 6 touchdowns, ensuring a 15-1 record for Green Bay, as well as a big day for Flynn this upcoming offseason.
Tied at 16 with under 5 minutes to go, Matt Hasselbeck threw a 23 yard touchdown pass to Nate Washington for the eventual Titans victory. However, Tennessee missed out on the last playoff spot due to tie-breakers, even though they finished a strong 9-7.
Down 23-16 with 1:49 remaining, backup Jake Delhomme drove the Texans 64 yards, capped by a 5 yard pass to Bryant Johnson. The Texans decided to go for the two point conversion and the victory, but after a 5 yard penalty, Delhomme received a bad snap for the 23-22 loss.
Tied at 20 in overtime, John Skelton led the Cardinals 71 yards, which led to a game-winning 28 yard field goal by Jay Feely. Skelton was 4 for 4 on the drive for 51 yards. Skelton finished the season strong, going 5-2, leading Arizona to a respectable 8-8 record.
THE non-CLUTCH:
Down 45-41 with 33 seconds on Green Bay's 37 yard line, Matthew Stafford threw the game-losing interception. The loss was important because Detroit will get the sixth seed instead of the fifth seed, and will face the 13-3 New Orleans Saints in round one.
Down 34-27 with less than 3 minutes to go on San Francisco's 40 yard line, rookie Tom Brandstater filling in for an injured Kellen Clemens, threw two straight incompletions for the loss of downs and loss of game for the Rams.
Down 16-10 on Miami's 10 yard line with under 3 minutes to go, Mark Sanchez threw an interception which ended any playoff hopes the Jets had.
Down 17-13 with 1:51 remaining from their own 6 yard line, backup Joe Webb drove Minnesota to their own 46 yard line before throwing the game-losing interception.
Down 24-16 with 1:05 remaining, Andy Dalton drove the Bengals 47 yards to get into range for a Hail-Mary, but his two attempts fell incomplete for the loss to Baltimore. The Bengals clinched a playoff spot nonetheless.
Down 13-9 with 1:46 remaining, Seneca Wallace drove the Browns 52 yards, but his last ditched Hail-Mary attempt fell incomplete for the loss to Pittsburgh.
Down 7-3 in the fourth quarter, Tim Tebow had four possessions which led to 3 punts and an interception for the Broncos loss. Tebow finished with only 60 yards passing, and only scored 3 points in what they thought was a must-win game. However, because of the Oakland loss, Denver still clinched the AFC West crown, despite an 8-8 record.
#4CR
BEST:
1. Matt Flynn: 480 yards, 6 touchdowns, 1 interception, 136.4 passer rating + clutch performance
2. Drew Brees: 389 yards, 5 touchdowns, 1 interception, 140.7 passer rating
3. Eli Manning: 346 yards, 3 touchdowns, 136.7 passer rating
4. Tom Brady: 338 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 113.8 passer rating
5. Philip Rivers: 310 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 135.1 passer rating
WORST:
28. Cam Newton: 158 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 75.1 passer rating
29. Seneca Wallace: 177 yards, 1 interception, 42.4 passer rating + non-clutch performance
30. TJ Yates: 47 yards, 115.6 passer rating + injured
31. Tim Tebow: 60 yards, 1 interception, 20.6 passer rating + non-clutch performance
32. Christian Ponder: 28 yards, 1 interception, 8.3 passer rating + injured again
Elite QBs: 58-49 (76-31)
Very Good QBs: 32-47 (41-38)
Average QBs: 54-42 (47-45)
Unknown QBs: 39-41 (32-48)
Bad QBs: 20-17 (20-17)
Backups: 53-60 (39-75)
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Week 17 Picks...
THE PICKS
TOTAL PICKS: 134-106* (9-7 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 48-49 (0-6 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5, 10-6, 7-9, 9-7 = 134-106
Washington (+9.5) over PHILADELPHIA
Detroit (+6.5) over GREEN BAY
MINNESOTA (+1.5) over Chicago
Carolina (+10.5) over NEW ORLEANS
NEW ENGLAND (-11.5) over Buffalo
Tampa Bay (+10.5) over ATLANTA
Pittsburgh (-7.5) over CLEVELAND
ARIZONA (-2.5) over Seattle
DENVER (-3.5) over Kansas City
NY Giants (-2.5) over Dallas
MY VALUE PICKS:
The Jets need a win, and losses by Tennessee, Cincinnati, and Oakland.
So let's file these under wishful thinking:
HOUSTON (+2.5) over Tennessee
NY Jets (+1.5) over MIAMI:
Baltimore (-2.5) over CINCINNATI
San Diego (+3.5) over OAKLAND
and two for the Andrew Luck sweepstakes:
Indianapolis (+4.5) over JACKSONVILLE: Colts play to win for Peyton Manning.
San Francisco (-10.5) over ST. LOUIS: ..and so ends the Sam Bradford era in St. Louis. Ironically, Bradford won't even make the start to defend his job--which is now up to Kellen Clemens...yikes!
MY VALUE PICKS: 48-49 (0-6 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5, 10-6, 7-9, 9-7 = 134-106
Monday, December 26, 2011
Week 16 Notes...
THE CLUTCH:
QB RECORDS VS. SPREAD (actual records in parenthesis)
Elite QBs: 53-48 (70-31)
Very Good QBs: 30-44 (39-35)
Average QBs: 53-39 (45-43)
Unknown QBs: 38-39 (32-45)
Bad QBs: 20-15 (19-16)
Backups: 46-55 (34-68)
Down 16-12 with 1:56 remaining, Dan Orlovsky drove the Colts 78 yards, capped by a 1 yard touchdown pass to Reggie Wayne with 19 seconds remaining for the 19-16 victory. The key play on the drive was a 34 yard pass to Wayne on 3rd down to get the Colts within striking distance for the go-ahead score.
Down 13-6 with 2:57 to go, Kyle Orton led the Chiefs 80 yards, capped by a 3 yard touchdown pass to Dwayne Bowe to tie the game at 13. After getting the ball back with 19 seconds remaining, Orton quickly threw two passes, one for 25, the next for 11, to get Kansas City into field goal position to win the game. However, Ryan Succop's 49 yard attempt was blocked. The Chiefs went on to lose in overtime because...
Carson Palmer threw a 53 yard strike to Darrius Heyward-Bey to set up the game-winning 36 yard field goal by Sebastian Janikowski.
Up 27-24 with 1:35 remaining, Tom Brady converted a 3rd and 5 pass to Wes Welker for 6 yards to ice the game for the Patriots over the Dolphins.
Down 17-16 with just over 5 minutes remaining, Alex Smith threw a 41 yard pass to Michael Crabtree to set up what would be the game-winning 39 yard field goal by David Akers.
THE non-CLUTCH:
Down 23-16 with under three minutes to go, John Skelton threw an incomplete pass on 4th down for a loss of downs. Skelton got another opportunity with 48 seconds and no timeouts, but ultimately ran out of time, throwing the last play over the middle, instead of a Hail-Mary attempt.
Down 20-14 with 2:24 from their own 8 yard line, Mark Sanchez was sacked for a safety for the loss to the Giants.
Down 33-26 with 55 seconds and one timeout from their own 36, Rex Grossman got Washington into position for one last Hail-Mary attempt, but it fell incomplete for the loss to the Vikings.
Down 20-13 with 4:03 remaining on 4th and 5, Seneca Wallace threw an out-pass to Peyton Hillis, which had no chance of converting of a 1st down for the Browns loss.
Down 19-17 with just over a minute remaining, Tarvaris Jackson fumbled the ball on San Francisco's 48 yard line. Jackson got another opportunity with 41 seconds left from their own 26 yard line, but Jackson threw an incomplete pass on 4th and 2 for the loss of downs and game for Seattle.
#4CR
BEST:
1. Aaron Rodgers: 283 yards, 5 touchdowns, 142.7 passer rating
2. Matthew Stafford: 373 yards, 3 touchdowns, 137.6 passer rating
3. Drew Brees: 307 yards, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, 96.8 passer rating
4. Michael Vick: 293 yards, 2 touchdowns, 107.9 passer rating
5. Cam Newton: 171 yards, 3 touchdowns, 142.4 passer rating
WORST:
28. Seneca Wallace: 147 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 66.1 passer rating + non-clutch performance
29. Blaine Gabbert: 198 yards, 1 interception, 53.5 passer rating
30. Kellen Clemens: 91 yards, 49.1 passer rating
31. Tim Tebow: 185 yards, 1 touchdown, 4 interceptions, 35.4 passer rating
32. Tony Romo: 0 yards, 39.6 passer rating + injured
QB RECORDS VS. SPREAD (actual records in parenthesis)
Elite QBs: 53-48 (70-31)
Very Good QBs: 30-44 (39-35)
Average QBs: 53-39 (45-43)
Unknown QBs: 38-39 (32-45)
Bad QBs: 20-15 (19-16)
Backups: 46-55 (34-68)
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Week 16 Picks...
PICKS:
TOTAL PICKS: 125-99* (7-9 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 48-43 (3-3 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5, 10-6, 7-9 = 125-99
Houston (+5.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
Cleveland (+13.5) over BALTIMORE
Jacksonville (+7.5) over TENNESSEE
Oakland (+0.5) over KANSAS CITY
PITTSBURGH (-15.5) over St. Louis
Minnesota (+6.5) over WASHINGTON
CAROLINA (-7.5) over Tampa Bay
Philadelphia (+2.5) over DALLAS
SEATTLE (+2.5) over San Francisco
GREEN BAY (-12.5) over Chicago
MY VALUE PICKS:
Denver (-2.5) over BUFFALO: Tim Tebow on Christmas Eve? With a win most likely ensuring a playoff spot? Even the devil would consider this is a lock.
NEW ENGLAND (-9.5) over Miami: The Patriots need two wins to ensure home-field throughout the playoffs. Translation: They will try to run up the score.
Arizona (-4.5) over CINCINNATI: Do you know John "Helter" Skelton is 6-3 career starting for the Cardinals, while Arizona is 6-15 when he doesn't start? This game could go either way, but I like the points.
NEW YORK JETS (-2.5) over NY Giants: Homer pick.
San Diego (+2.5) over DETROIT: After blowing out Baltimore, Philip Rivers is now 23-2 in December. Both teams need a win desperately, but I trust Rivers more than a Jim Schwartz coached Lions.
Atlanta (+6.5) over NEW ORLEANS: In the Matt Ryan era, this game has always been close. Out of the 7 games played, Atlanta has only won twice, but they have only lost by more than 7 once. Expect another close one.
TOTAL PICKS: 125-99* (7-9 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 48-43 (3-3 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5, 10-6, 7-9 = 125-99
Monday, December 19, 2011
Week 15 Notes..
THE CLUTCH:
Down 27-21 with 2:14 remaining, Matthew Stafford led the Lions 98 yards, capped by a 6 yard touchdown pass to Calvin Johnson. Stafford threw for 391 yards and 4 touchdowns, and overcome a late 13 point 4th quarter deficit to put Detroit in great shape to make the playoffs.
Tied at 17 in overtime, John Skelton threw a 32 yard pass to Larry Fitzgerald to set up the game-winning 22 yard field goal by Jay Feely. Skelton is 4-1 as a starter this year, and Arizona is back in the playoff mix at 7-7.
THE non-CLUTCH:
Down 28-27 with about 20 seconds left and one timeout, Carson Palmer took an awful sack, forcing Oakland to use their last timeout. Because of that, Oakland wasn't able to get legit field goal positioning, and Sebastian Janikowski's 65 yard attempt was blocked. Also, on the previous drive, Carson Palmer could've sealed the win for Oakland but overshot his receiver Chaz Schilens on a 3rd down.
Tied at 17 with just over 5 minutes remaining, Seneca Wallace had three possessions (including one in overtime) to win the game, but punted on each possession. Wallace finished the game 2-7 for 33 yards, but more importantly 0-3 on 3rd downs.
#4CR
BEST:
1. Drew Brees: 412 yards, 5 touchdowns, 149.2 passer rating
2. Matthew Stafford: 391 yards, 4 touchdowns, 105.5 passer rating + clutch performance
3. Tom Brady: 320 yards, 2 touchdowns, 117.3 passer rating
4. Tony Romo: 249 yards, 3 touchdowns, 133.9 passer rating
5. Matt Ryan: 224 yards, 3 touchdowns, 137.3 passer ratingWORST:
28. Blaine Gabbert: 141 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 70.5 passer rating
29. Matt Hasselbeck: 223 yards, 2 interceptions, 60.7 passer rating
30. TJ Yates: 212 yards, 2 interceptions, 56.5 passer rating
31. Eli Manning: 257 yards, 3 interceptions, 45.5 passer rating
32. Caleb Hanie: 111 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions, 33.3 passer rating
QB RECORDS VS. SPREAD (actual records in parenthesis)
Elite QBs: 50-45 (66-29)
Very Good QBs: 29-40 (37-32)
Average QBs: 52-36 (44-40)
Unknown QBs: 35-39 (29-45)
Bad QBs: 19-14 (17-16)
Backups: 39-50 (30-60)
Labels:
Carson Palmer,
John Skelton,
Matthew Stafford,
Seneca Wallace
Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Week 15 Picks...
MY PICKS:
ATLANTA (-11.5) over Jacksonville
TAMPA BAY (+6.5) over Dallas
Washington (+6.5) over NY GIANTS:
MINNESOTA (+6.5) over New Orleans
BUFFALO (+1.5) over Miami
Tennessee (-6.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
Carolina (+6.5) over HOUSTON
Detroit (-0.5) over OAKLAND
ARIZONA (-6.5) over Cleveland
DENVER (+6.5) over New England
MY VALUE PICKS:
Cincinnati (-6.5) over ST. LOUIS: St. Louis can't score, and Sam Bradford looks like he'll be sitting out (even though with the way he's playing, does it really matter?)
Seattle (+3.5) over CHICAGO: Essentially a loser goes home game! Seattle is super frisky, and Caleb Hanie is horrible. Plus the extra half point!
Green Bay (-13.5) over KANSAS CITY: Green Bay has only won 4 games by more than 13.5 pts this season. However, the possibility of Kyle Orton or Rick Stanzi (also an interim coach) going against Green Bay is too hard to pass up.
New York Jets (+2.5) over PHILADELPHIA: Because the Jets absolutely need to win this game. I know the Jets have never (in the history of the franchise!) beaten Philadelphia, but does that really matter?
SAN DIEGO (+2.5) over Baltimore: I think a new rule should be put into place that we can only bet on Philip Rivers starting in December, where's he 22-2 in his career. Let's ride it!
Pittsburgh (+2.5) over SAN FRANCISCO: Steelers are actually good, whereas I think 49ers are fraudulent. Alex Smith going against the Steelers defense screams disaster.
TOTAL PICKS: 118-90* (10-6 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 45-40 (3-3 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5, 10-6 = 118-90
ATLANTA (-11.5) over Jacksonville
TAMPA BAY (+6.5) over Dallas
Washington (+6.5) over NY GIANTS:
MINNESOTA (+6.5) over New Orleans
BUFFALO (+1.5) over Miami
Tennessee (-6.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
Carolina (+6.5) over HOUSTON
Detroit (-0.5) over OAKLAND
ARIZONA (-6.5) over Cleveland
DENVER (+6.5) over New England
MY VALUE PICKS:
Cincinnati (-6.5) over ST. LOUIS: St. Louis can't score, and Sam Bradford looks like he'll be sitting out (even though with the way he's playing, does it really matter?)
Seattle (+3.5) over CHICAGO: Essentially a loser goes home game! Seattle is super frisky, and Caleb Hanie is horrible. Plus the extra half point!
Green Bay (-13.5) over KANSAS CITY: Green Bay has only won 4 games by more than 13.5 pts this season. However, the possibility of Kyle Orton or Rick Stanzi (also an interim coach) going against Green Bay is too hard to pass up.
New York Jets (+2.5) over PHILADELPHIA: Because the Jets absolutely need to win this game. I know the Jets have never (in the history of the franchise!) beaten Philadelphia, but does that really matter?
SAN DIEGO (+2.5) over Baltimore: I think a new rule should be put into place that we can only bet on Philip Rivers starting in December, where's he 22-2 in his career. Let's ride it!
Pittsburgh (+2.5) over SAN FRANCISCO: Steelers are actually good, whereas I think 49ers are fraudulent. Alex Smith going against the Steelers defense screams disaster.
TOTAL PICKS: 118-90* (10-6 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 45-40 (3-3 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5, 10-6 = 118-90
Washington Post: Is Sam Bradford Beginning to Look Like a Bust?
In case you missed it, I wrote an article this week for The Washington Post's Website wondering if Sam Bradford is beginning to look like a bust. You can check out the article here.
Monday, December 12, 2011
Week 14 Notes...
THE CLUTCH:
Up 7-3 with 3:05 remaining, Ben Roethlisberger threw a touchdown pass to Antonio Brown, which went 79 yards, to ice the win for the Steelers, 14-3.
Down 19-13 with 2:33 remaining, rookie TJ Yates led the Texans 80 yards for the game-winning score, capped by a 6 yard pass to Kevin Walter with 8 seconds left. Yates was 6 for 10 on the drive, for 51 yards, with a 17 yard scramble.
Up 24-23 with five minutes remaining, Matt Ryan hit Julio Jones over the middle for 75 yards for the eventual 31-23 victory.
Down 10-0 with 4:34 to go, Tim Tebow drove the Broncos 63 yards in 2:26, capped by a 10 touchdown pass to Demaryius Thomas to cut Chicago's lead to 10-7. Then, on Denver's next possession, with 53 seconds to go, from their own 20 and no timeouts, Tim Tebow led Denver 39 yards to set up the 59 yard game-tying Matt Prater field goal to force overtime. Then in overtime, Tebow drove the Broncos 33 yards to set up the game-winning 51 yard fiel goal by Prater for Tebow's 7th win in 8 starts.
Down 34-22 with five minutes to go, Eli Manning quickly led the Giants 80 yards in 2 minutes to (capped by a 8 touchdown pass to Jake Ballard) cut the lead to 34-29. Then with 2:12 remaining, Eli Manning drove the Giants 58 yards for what ended up being the game-winning touchdown (and two point conversion) to save the Giants season.
Down 37-34 with 46 seconds to go and no timeouts, Tony Romo quickly drove the Cowboys 47 yards to set up the game-tying field goal. However, that 47 yard attempt was blocked for the Cowboys loss. It also should be noted, Romo missed Miles Austin on a wide open pass which would have sealed the game when the Cowboys had the 34-29 lead.
THE non-CLUTCH:
Down 7-3 with under four minutes remaining, a concussed Colt McCoy threw an interception on the Steelers 16 yard line for the eventual loss.
Down 34-28, after driving the Vikings 79 yards down to the Lions 1 yard line, with 9 seconds to go, Joe Webb took an awful sack and lost the ball on a fumble for the Vikings loss.
Down 22-17, after driving the Titans 75 yards in a minute down to the Saints 5 yard line with seconds remaining, rookie Jake Locker threw an incomplete pass, and then took a bad sack on the last play of the game for the Titans loss.
Down 34-27 with less than a minute to go in the Patriots redzone, after getting a touchdown pass nullified by a penalty, Rex Grossman threw the game-losing interception, which bounced off receiver Santonio Moss.
Down 31-23 with under 4 minutes to go, after driving the Panthers 53 yards to the Falcons 27 yard line, Cam Newton threw four straight incompletions for the loss of downs, and eventual loss of game.
Down 21-19 with 2:51 left from their own 32 yard line, Alex Smith threw two straight incompletions for the loss of downs and loss of game.
#4CR
BEST:
1. Matt Ryan: 320 yards, 4 touchdowns, 120.5 passer rating + clutch performance
2. Tom Brady: 357 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 107.6 passer rating
3. Drew Brees: 337 yards, 2 touchdowns, 110.0 passer rating
4. Eli Manning: 400 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, 90.7 passer rating + clutch performance
5. Philip Rivers: 240 yards, 3 touchdowns, 123.3 passer rating
WORST:
28. Carson Palmer: 245 yards, 1 touchdown, 4 interceptions, 42.4 passer rating
29. Matt Hasselbeck: 44 yards, 87.8 passer rating + injury
30. Christian Ponder: 115 yards, 2 touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 60.7 passer rating + benched
31. Josh Freeman: 181 yards, 2 interceptions, 43.9 passer rating
32. Ryan Fitzpatrick: 176 yards, 2 interceptions, 31.0 passer rating
QB RECORDS VS. SPREAD (actual records in parenthesis)
Elite QBs: 45-43 (61-27)
Very Good QBs: 28-36 (36-28)
Average QBs: 49-35 (41-39)
Unknown QBs: 32-39 (26-45)
Bad QBs: 18-13 (16-15)
Backups: 36-42 (27-52)
Up 7-3 with 3:05 remaining, Ben Roethlisberger threw a touchdown pass to Antonio Brown, which went 79 yards, to ice the win for the Steelers, 14-3.
Down 19-13 with 2:33 remaining, rookie TJ Yates led the Texans 80 yards for the game-winning score, capped by a 6 yard pass to Kevin Walter with 8 seconds left. Yates was 6 for 10 on the drive, for 51 yards, with a 17 yard scramble.
Up 24-23 with five minutes remaining, Matt Ryan hit Julio Jones over the middle for 75 yards for the eventual 31-23 victory.
Down 10-0 with 4:34 to go, Tim Tebow drove the Broncos 63 yards in 2:26, capped by a 10 touchdown pass to Demaryius Thomas to cut Chicago's lead to 10-7. Then, on Denver's next possession, with 53 seconds to go, from their own 20 and no timeouts, Tim Tebow led Denver 39 yards to set up the 59 yard game-tying Matt Prater field goal to force overtime. Then in overtime, Tebow drove the Broncos 33 yards to set up the game-winning 51 yard fiel goal by Prater for Tebow's 7th win in 8 starts.
Down 34-22 with five minutes to go, Eli Manning quickly led the Giants 80 yards in 2 minutes to (capped by a 8 touchdown pass to Jake Ballard) cut the lead to 34-29. Then with 2:12 remaining, Eli Manning drove the Giants 58 yards for what ended up being the game-winning touchdown (and two point conversion) to save the Giants season.
Down 37-34 with 46 seconds to go and no timeouts, Tony Romo quickly drove the Cowboys 47 yards to set up the game-tying field goal. However, that 47 yard attempt was blocked for the Cowboys loss. It also should be noted, Romo missed Miles Austin on a wide open pass which would have sealed the game when the Cowboys had the 34-29 lead.
THE non-CLUTCH:
Down 7-3 with under four minutes remaining, a concussed Colt McCoy threw an interception on the Steelers 16 yard line for the eventual loss.
Down 34-28, after driving the Vikings 79 yards down to the Lions 1 yard line, with 9 seconds to go, Joe Webb took an awful sack and lost the ball on a fumble for the Vikings loss.
Down 22-17, after driving the Titans 75 yards in a minute down to the Saints 5 yard line with seconds remaining, rookie Jake Locker threw an incomplete pass, and then took a bad sack on the last play of the game for the Titans loss.
Down 34-27 with less than a minute to go in the Patriots redzone, after getting a touchdown pass nullified by a penalty, Rex Grossman threw the game-losing interception, which bounced off receiver Santonio Moss.
Down 31-23 with under 4 minutes to go, after driving the Panthers 53 yards to the Falcons 27 yard line, Cam Newton threw four straight incompletions for the loss of downs, and eventual loss of game.
Down 21-19 with 2:51 left from their own 32 yard line, Alex Smith threw two straight incompletions for the loss of downs and loss of game.
#4CR
BEST:
1. Matt Ryan: 320 yards, 4 touchdowns, 120.5 passer rating + clutch performance
2. Tom Brady: 357 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception, 107.6 passer rating
3. Drew Brees: 337 yards, 2 touchdowns, 110.0 passer rating
4. Eli Manning: 400 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, 90.7 passer rating + clutch performance
5. Philip Rivers: 240 yards, 3 touchdowns, 123.3 passer rating
WORST:
28. Carson Palmer: 245 yards, 1 touchdown, 4 interceptions, 42.4 passer rating
29. Matt Hasselbeck: 44 yards, 87.8 passer rating + injury
30. Christian Ponder: 115 yards, 2 touchdowns, 3 interceptions, 60.7 passer rating + benched
31. Josh Freeman: 181 yards, 2 interceptions, 43.9 passer rating
32. Ryan Fitzpatrick: 176 yards, 2 interceptions, 31.0 passer rating
QB RECORDS VS. SPREAD (actual records in parenthesis)
Elite QBs: 45-43 (61-27)
Very Good QBs: 28-36 (36-28)
Average QBs: 49-35 (41-39)
Unknown QBs: 32-39 (26-45)
Bad QBs: 18-13 (16-15)
Backups: 36-42 (27-52)
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Week 14 Picks...
PICKS:
PITTSBURGH (-14.5) over Cleveland
Minnesota (+7.5) over DETROIT
Philadelphia (+3.5) over MIAMI
Houston (+2.5) over CINCINNATI
Tampa Bay (-1.5) over JACKSONVILLE
BALTIMORE (-16.5) over Indianapolis
New Orleans (-3.5) over TENNESSEE
GREEN BAY (-10.5) over Oakland
SAN DIEGO (-6.5) over Buffalo
NY Giants (+3.5) over DALLAS
MY VALUE PICKS:
Atlanta (-2.5) over CAROLINA: I got burned by Matt Ryan by last week. Also, do you know Cam Newton is 7-5 against the spread this year vs. Matt Ryan's 6-6? However, this is a must-win game for Atlanta, and I think they'll win by at least three.
New England (-8.5) over WASHINGTON: 7 of New England's 9 wins have been by more than this line. Plus, New England will be looking to wrap up their division and might not phone it in like the ending of the Indianapolis game, in which they let the Colts back door cover.
NY JETS (-9.5) over Kansas City: I think this will be a good day for the Jets: Bengals, Titans and Raiders all lose, and the Jets blow out Tyler Palko and the Chiefs. Thinking a 31-9 final.
San Francisco (-3.5) over ARIZONA: I hate to say this, but Alex Smith and co. have been ridiculously reliable this year. How much you say? to the tune of a 11-1 record against the spread. I know Arizona is somewhat frisky, and they're playing at home--but San Francisco has been methodical, and I can't see Kevin "Kolb Salad" tearing up this 49ers defense.
DENVER (-3.5) over Chicago: Originally had GB -10.5 in this spot, but couldn't resist going against Caleb Hanie on the road without Matt Forte. Could see this as a statement game for Tebow & co. along the lines of 28-6.
SEATTLE (-6.5) over St. Louis: At 5-7, Seattle is still thinking playoffs, with a winnable schedule down the stretch. Plus they're playing at home, and there's a godo chance that Tom Brandstater (who!?!?!) will start for the Rams. This is my lock of the week.
TOTAL PICKS: 108-84* (11-5 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 42-37 (3-3 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5 = 97-79
PITTSBURGH (-14.5) over Cleveland
Minnesota (+7.5) over DETROIT
Philadelphia (+3.5) over MIAMI
Houston (+2.5) over CINCINNATI
Tampa Bay (-1.5) over JACKSONVILLE
BALTIMORE (-16.5) over Indianapolis
New Orleans (-3.5) over TENNESSEE
GREEN BAY (-10.5) over Oakland
SAN DIEGO (-6.5) over Buffalo
NY Giants (+3.5) over DALLAS
MY VALUE PICKS:
Atlanta (-2.5) over CAROLINA: I got burned by Matt Ryan by last week. Also, do you know Cam Newton is 7-5 against the spread this year vs. Matt Ryan's 6-6? However, this is a must-win game for Atlanta, and I think they'll win by at least three.
New England (-8.5) over WASHINGTON: 7 of New England's 9 wins have been by more than this line. Plus, New England will be looking to wrap up their division and might not phone it in like the ending of the Indianapolis game, in which they let the Colts back door cover.
NY JETS (-9.5) over Kansas City: I think this will be a good day for the Jets: Bengals, Titans and Raiders all lose, and the Jets blow out Tyler Palko and the Chiefs. Thinking a 31-9 final.
San Francisco (-3.5) over ARIZONA: I hate to say this, but Alex Smith and co. have been ridiculously reliable this year. How much you say? to the tune of a 11-1 record against the spread. I know Arizona is somewhat frisky, and they're playing at home--but San Francisco has been methodical, and I can't see Kevin "Kolb Salad" tearing up this 49ers defense.
DENVER (-3.5) over Chicago: Originally had GB -10.5 in this spot, but couldn't resist going against Caleb Hanie on the road without Matt Forte. Could see this as a statement game for Tebow & co. along the lines of 28-6.
SEATTLE (-6.5) over St. Louis: At 5-7, Seattle is still thinking playoffs, with a winnable schedule down the stretch. Plus they're playing at home, and there's a godo chance that Tom Brandstater (who!?!?!) will start for the Rams. This is my lock of the week.
TOTAL PICKS: 108-84* (11-5 last week)
MY VALUE PICKS: 42-37 (3-3 last week)
*Note: 8-8, 12-4, 11-5, 8-8, 6-7, 7-6, 9-4, 3-10, 8-6, 9-7, 9-5, 7-9, 11-5 = 97-79
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