Thursday, September 10, 2009

The Season Starts Tonight: My Thursday Pick

The opening Thursday NFL game has featured the defending Super Bowl champions the past five seasons. This year, the game features defending champs, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh is a 5.5 point favorite at home vs. the last year’s best regular season team, the Tennessee Titans.

Things to keep in mind: The last five Super Bowl Champions are 5-0 during this opening Thursday game, with an average margin of victory of 12.8. Taking out the 2007 blowout of Indianapolis Colts over the New Orleans Saints, 41-10, the margin of victory is still 8.25 points.

On top of the fact that Tennessee is secretly going to have a down year (as I predict here), I think the Steelers will prevail at home, and cover the spread.

Pick: Steelers 28, Titans 16

1 comment:

  1. You really undervalue the Titans. This team won home field in the playoffs last year. They are good. They held Pittsburgh to 16 points...unfortunately they only score 13.