Tuesday, October 27, 2009

QB Shuffle: Week 7 Notes...

Week 7 is in the books. Here are my post-weekend notes:

THE CLUTCH:

At one point down 24-3, Drew Brees caps off a huge comeback, leading the Saints on a 43-10 charge to beat the Dolphins. Brees ran for two touchdowns and threw for one after a dismal start (three interceptions).

THE non-CLUTCH:

Down 24-21 with 1:38 left from their own 6 yard line, Alex Smith (filling in for Shaun Hill) failed to complete San Francisco’s comeback attempt, by throwing the game-losing interception. Although Smith played very well in relief, throwing three touchdown passes, Smith like his career, came up short.

Down 20-17 with 3:21, Brett Favre threw a pick 6 that went 82 yards to lose the game for Minnesota, 27-17. Although the interception itself wasn’t necessarily Favre’s fault, his sack and fumble (which was returned for a touchdown) on Pittsburgh’s 8 yard line, down 13-10 was the real killer. If not for Percy Harvin’s kick-off return, Favre would have never gotten a legit shot at the end.

Once up by 21 points, Miami blows the game, as Chad Henne, down 40-34 with 3:23 remaining, throws a game losing Pick-6 to complete the monumental loss. Now at 2-4, Miami’s season looks cooked.

Down 24-17 with 2:52 left, Eli Manning throws an interception to lose to the Arizona Cardinals.

COACHING:

John Fox- what are you doing? Carolina rushes only 25 times (average 4.6 per carry) in favor of 44 pass attempts by what some people refer to as Jake “The Mistake” Delhomme? Delhomme throws three picks, and Carolina’s season essentially ends, dropping to 2-4 with a loss at home to the lowly Bills. Yikes.

VEGAS IMPLICATIONS:

Two games came down to an unneccessary Pick-6 to end the game, and essentially make the cover for the favorite (Pittsburgh -4.5 & New Orleans -6.5).

In particular, Miami's last ditch attempt to cover, was bogusly cut short with a mysterious penalty with 1 second to go with Miami within 5 yards of a touchdown. Very shady ending from a gambling point of view.

Did You Know:

Jay Cutler’s Chicago Bears are 3-3. Kyle Orton’s Denver Broncos are 6-0.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is a nifty 5-3-1 in his last 9 starts.

Jason Campbell is 4-11 in his last 15 starts.

JaMarcus Russell is now 7-16 record with a 66.7 passer rating.

Since his big 2007 year, Derek Anderson is 4-9 with 11 tds vs. 15 interceptions, and a 58.0 passer rating.

Marc Bulger has won 4 games in his last 32 starts (14-42 since 2005).

HOMER REPORT

The cure to get back on track? Answer: playing a team that has JaMarcus Russell as their quarterback!

The Jets lose Leon Washington for the year. On the bright side- everytime Shonn Greene runs- it's as if he is shot out of a canon!

Was anybody as surprised as me that it was Mark Sanchez, not Rex Ryan, who was caught eating on the sidelines?

Confidence Scale (out of 10): 7.0- The Jets face a must-win game this week at home vs. Miami before they hit their bye. If they fall to 4-4, the playoffs would be very unlikely.

FOURCADE FORMULA

Based on my Fourcade formula, here are the top 5 and bottom 5 quarterback performances from week 7.

BEST:

1) Carson Palmer: 233 yards, 5 touchdowns
2) Tony Romo: 311 yards, 3 touchdowns
3) Aaron Rodgers: 246 yards, 3 touchdowns
4) Philip Rivers: 268 yards, 3 touchdowns
5) Peyton Manning: 235 yards, 3 touchdowns

WORST:

22) Derek Anderson: 99 yards, 1 interception
23) Josh Johnson: 156 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions + benched
24) Marc Bulger: 140 yards, 2 interceptions
25) Matt Cassel: 97 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions
26) JaMarcus Russell: 61 yards, 2 interceptions

2 comments:

  1. Did anyone notice the 2 worst teams getting destroyed by the Patriots and Colts?

    It is there, we see that the differences between the best QB situations and the worst situations. Nobody knows, who the Tampa Bay QB will be, in 3 weeks. It could be Josh Johnson, Byron Leftwich, John David Booty, Keenu Reeves, Willie Beaman, Johnny Unitas, etc.

    I love the Rams thinking...let's go with Bulger over Warner. Bulger has more of an upside. Bulger has only won one playoff game. In 2008-2009 playoffs, Warner won 3 playoff games, coming one dropped pass from a Super Bowl ring. Bulger is considered a good QB...the good thought here makes no sense...he has only won 4 games in his last 32 starts.

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  2. The Kerry Collins Era will end Thursday. Fischer is worrying for his job, so Young will probably start over Collins.

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