Tuesday, December 8, 2009

QB Shuffle: Week 13 Notes...

Week 13 is in the books. Here are my post-weekend notes:

THE CLUTCH:

Down 21-19 with 3:44 remaining from their own 26 yard line, Chad Henne drove the Dolphins 51 yards for an eventual 41 yard game winning field goal and the 22-21 lead and eventual win. Henne completed on a 4th and 6 to keep the drive going.

Down 20-17 with 5:28 remaining from their own 20 yard line, Ben Roethlisberger drove the Steelers 80 yards, capped off by a 11 yard touchdown pass, to give the Steelers' a 24-20 lead with just under 2 minutes to go. However, the Steelers ended up losing the game because…

Bruce Gradkowski drove the Raiders 88 yards in 10 plays, capped off by a 11 yard touchdown pass to Louis Murphy, with under 30 seconds to go to give the Raiders the 27-24 upset win.

Down 30-23 with 1:52 remaining from their own 20 yard line, Drew Brees threw a 53 yard touchdown pass on the 5th play to tie the score at 30 with just over a minute to play in regulation. The Saints eventually won in overtime, recovering a fumble in Washington territory, resulting in a field goal eight plays later.

Tied at 17 with 21 seconds left, from their own 48 yard line, Matt Hasselbeck threw a 32 yard pass, which led to a 30 yard game winning field goal as time expired to beat the 49ers 20-17.

THE non-CLUTCH:

Down 19-13 with 2:31 remaining, from their own 23 yard line, Ryan Fitzpatrick took a bad sack, and then threw the game losing interception in their loss to the New York Jets.

Down 17-9 with 1:50 remaining from their own 22 yard line, Kyle Boller threw three straight incompletions for a loss of downs and loss of game to the Chicago Bears.

Down 22-21 with 1:02 remaining, Tom Brady threw an interception on the third play to lose to the Miami Dolphins.

Tied at 30 with 1:19 remaining in regulation, Jason Campbell threw an interception on the fourth play that gave New Orleans pretty good field positioning. Luckily for Campbell the game went to overtime. However, Campbell didn’t get a legitimate chance to redeem himself because of a Mike Sellers fumble, which ultimately cost Washington the loss in overtime.

Did You Know:

Jay Cutler’s Chicago Bears are 5-7. Kyle Orton’s Denver Broncos are 8-3 when he starts.

The Tennessee Titans are 5-1 with Vince Young as a starter and 0-6 with Kerry Collins as a starter.

Tony Romo is 35-16 as a starter, but 5-9 playing in December

Philip Rivers is 42-18 as a starter.

Jason Campbell is 5-15 in his last 20 games.

Matt Schaub's career record is now 15-21.

Brady Quinn has still only one once in 10 career starts.

Kyle Boller has lost his last 10 starts.

Matt Moore has a 3-1 career record.

HOMER REPORT

With losses by Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Houston, Tennessee, and New England- the Jets have a pretty good shot at making the playoffs if they run the table.

Confidence Scale (out of 10): 7.0- Good news: vs. 1-11 Tampa Bay; Bad news: Sanchez may or may not play because of a knee injury.

FOURCADE FORMULA

Based on my Fourcade formula, here are the top 5 and bottom 5 quarterback performances from week 13.

BEST:

1) Philip Rivers: 373 yards, 2 touchdowns
2) Bruce Gradkowski: 308 yards, 3 touchdowns + clutch performance
3) Drew Brees: 419 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception + clutch performance
4) Kurt Warner: 285 yards, 3 touchdowns
5) Chad Henne: 335 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception + clutch performance

WORST:

28) Kyle Boller: 113 yards, 1 interception + non-clutch performance
29) Josh Freeman: 321 yards, 5 interceptions
30) Ryan Fitzpatrick: 98 yards, 1 interception + non-clutch performance
31) Joe Flacco: 137 yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions
32) Matt Cassel: 84 yards, 2 interceptions

QB REPORT CARD:

Based on my Fourcade formula, here are the grades for quarterbacks who have started at least six games through Week 13:

A+: Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Brett Favre, Philip Rivers, Vince Young, Kurt Warner, Aaron Rodgers
A: Tony Romo, Donovan McNabb, Kyle Orton, Carson Palmer, Tom Brady
B+: Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Chad Henne
B: David Garrard
C+: Matt Ryan
C: Matt Schaub, Joe Flacco, Matt Hasselbeck
D+: Shaun Hill
D: Alex Smith, Jay Cutler, Mark Sanchez
F: Jason Campbell, Jake Delhomme, Matt Cassel, Trent Edwards, Matthew Stafford, Marc Bulger, JaMarcus Russell, Brady Quinn, Kerry Collins

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